The announcement on Wednesday by the president of the parliamentary election committee, Hadi Al-Sagheer, confirmed what virtually everyone in Libya already knew. Nonetheless, it threatened to take political tensions to a boil from a simmer.
“After reviewing the technical, judicial and security reports,” Mr. Al-Sagheer said in a statement, “we would like to inform you that it will be impossible to hold the elections on the date set by the elections law.”
Western diplomats, along with many Libyans, had thrown their support behind this election, viewing it as a crucial step toward ending nearly a decade of civil conflict and reunifying a country still largely split in two. The election of a new president is regarded as the key to beginning the evictions of the armies of foreign fighters who were brought in over recent years to wage civil conflicts, to starting the consolidation of Libya’s multiple militias into a single national army, and to reuniting fractured government institutions.
For more than a year, Libya had been working toward the election on Dec. 24, which was to coincide with the 70th anniversary of the country’s independence. But it had become increasingly clear in recent weeks that the election could not go forward as planned because of disputes over the eligibility of the major candidates and over the electoral law.
Electoral officials had already told election workers to go home on Tuesday night.
The question now is not only when a vote might take place, but whether a postponed election would be any less brittle — and who would control Libya in the interim. While international mediators continued to try to find a new election date not long from now, Libyan politicians were already vying for control of a country that looked in danger of becoming rudderless with the added uncertainty surrounding the vote.
The board of the High National Elections Commission has proposed Jan. 24 as a new election date. But it was unclear whether the date would gain wide acceptance.
Much will need to be done before the election, whenever it might be.
In terms of ballot boxes and polling stations, Libya is more or less equipped. But doubts persist about the fairness of the election law. Before an election, diplomats and analysts said, Libya needed an improved election law and a new high court to rule on whether certain candidates can run.
Many Libyans fear that polarization over leading candidates such as Mr. el-Qaddafi, Mr. Dbeiba and Khalifa Hifter, the strongman who launched a military campaign to take Tripoli two years ago, would make it impossible for the eventual winner to be seen as legitimate.
And legitimacy was exactly what any future president would need to make headway on Libya’s many challenges.
“The new president will have power from the people, not only from international dialogues,” said Ahmed Sharkasi, a member of the Libyan Political Dialogue Forum, the U.N.-convened body that set out the road map to the interim government and elections.
He noted that the current government had been selected through an internationally mediated process involving only a small fraction of Libyans.
Local media reported earlier on Wednesday that the head of the election commission, Emad al-Sayeh, said the board of the commission had stepped down after the failure to hold the election on schedule. But Mr. Sharkasi later denied this, saying he had spoken directly to Mr. al-Sayeh.
Nearly 100 candidates, including a few who are among the most prominent in Libyan politics, had declared they were running for president in Libya, which has a population of about seven million people. More than a third of Libyans are registered to vote, and more than 2.4 million of them had signaled their intentions to participate by picking up their voting cards — whether to support certain candidates or simply to vote against others.