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The US must step up and prevent a return to chaos in Libya

By Fathi Bashagha

The Biden administration’s engagement has given hope that free elections can be held later this year. At an international conference in Berlin less than two months ago, US secretary of state Antony Blinken delivered an urgent message about the future of Libya, which has been roiled by a decade of political unrest. Read More

The lost tablet and the secret documents

Clues pointing to a shadowy Russian army

Nader Ibrahim & Ilya Barabanov

Wagner is a Russian mercenary group whose operations have spanned the globe, from front-line fighting in Syria to guarding diamond mines in the Central African Republic. But it is notoriously secretive and, as such, difficult to scrutinise. Read More

Informing Criminal Justice Reform in Libya

Libya has struggled to emerge from bouts of conflict since the overthrow of the Qaddafi regime in 2011. Hope for a political settlement was dashed in April 2019, when the Libyan Arab Armed Forces launched an offense. Read More

Libya detention centre blast exposes dangerous conditions

Sara Creta

Survivors say hundreds escaped the centre, overcoming guards, following explosion caused by ammunition stored nearby. Authorities at a migrant detention centre in Libya have denied that an explosion at the centre last month originated in a weapons and ammunition depot a few steps from where refugees were being held or that anyone was injured.   Read More

Russia in Libya and the Mediterranean

Andrey Chuprygin

There are several myths about Soviet/Russian involvement in Libya in particular and the Mediterranean in general. Unfortunately, such “political stories” are firmly rooted in the traditions of the Cold War and the post-Soviet period of geopolitical fog. Read More

Libya’s Islamists: A Fragmented Landscape (3)

Alison Pargeter

Post-Qadhafi Libya has been defined by chaos, division and disintegration. With the once-strong center in tatters, the country has fragmented into an array of militias, towns, tribes and regions, all competing to dominate the new order.

Read More

Crimes against humanity in Libya (9)

The Criminal Role of Saudi Arabia and UAE

Mahmoud Refaat

War crimes and crimes against humanity have been perpetrated by the belligerents in Libya and continue to make victims. It is necessary to conduct thorough investigations into the actions of Haftar and his seconds, who participated in massacres of civilians, such as in Tarhunah. These individuals must be prosecuted and convicted. Read More

Libya’s Islamists: A Fragmented Landscape (2)

Alison Pargeter

Post-Qadhafi Libya has been defined by chaos, division and disintegration. With the once-strong center in tatters, the country has fragmented into an array of militias, towns, tribes and regions, all competing to dominate the new order. Read More

Libya’s Islamists: A Fragmented Landscape (1)

Alison Pargeter

Post-Qadhafi Libya has been defined by chaos, division and disintegration. With the once-strong center in tatters, the country has fragmented into an array of militias, towns, tribes and regions, all competing to dominate the new order. Read More

Five Questions With Libyan Women Leaders

Caroline Hayes & Haydn Welch

This post is part of the Council on Foreign Relations’ blog series on women’s leadership in peacebuilding and nonviolent movements, in which CFR fellows, scholars, and practitioners highlight new security strategies.  Read More

How Western policymakers can engage the new Arab diasporas

Noha Aboueldahab

Since the onset of the Arab uprisings 10 years ago, many people from Bahrain, Egypt, Libya, Syria, Yemen, and other countries have fled or were forced to flee their home states. The demography of these new diasporas is diverse and powerful, yet policymakers in the West do not adequately engage with them. Read More

Azmi Bishara: Democracy can still be saved in Tunisia

Azmi Bishara

Opinion: Dr. Azmi Bishara outlines nine basic observations regarding the dramatic events unfolding in Tunisia with President Saied’s dissolving of parliament and attempt to consolidate power.

Editor’s note: Dr. Azmi Bishara, director of the Arab Centre for Research and Policy Studies, commented on the developments in Tunisia on his Facebook page, after President Kais Saied announced that he was suspending parliament for 30 days yesterday.

He also declared he was lifting ministerial immunity and sacking Prime Minister Hichem Mechichi, declaring that he himself would assume executive authority with the help of a new Prime Minister.

The move has been decried as a coup against the constitution by Tunisia’s largest party Ennahda and other opposition groups.

Dr. Bishara emphasised that democracy is under threat, pointing out that the alternatives being aired currently are not between a ‘parliamentary’ or ‘presidential’ democracy, but rather between democracy and a return to dictatorship. He stressed that commitment to democracy and its defence must not bow to partisan divisions.

He made the following points:

1 – Defending democracy is a task for the Tunisian people and civil society, not a matter of partisan divisions. Commitment to a democratic regime is not a partisan issue.

2 – No constitutional or legal expert of any standing has agreed with President Saied’s interpretations of the constitution since he took office. In general, discussion of parts of the constitution with those who oppose the constitution in its entirety is a futile pursuit. Saied’s interpretation of the constitution is actually a cover for enacting anti-constitutional steps.

3 – In Tunisia, the systematic obstruction of parliament and government functioning has been underway. This has included:

(a) a failure to consult the parliamentary blocs when appointing a prime minister;

(b) an attempt to remove the appointed prime minister when he didn’t follow presidential orders even though the matter was not part of his remit;

(c) the president’s refusal to allow ministers to take their oaths of office – transforming superficial procedures into a fundamental issue;

(d) the president’s refusal to establish a constitutional court to handle disputes between different authorities, instead appointing himself judge and jury;

(e) repeatedly blurring the lines between different governmental authorities; and

(f) attempts to involve the army in politics.

In addition to this are the following:

(a) the president’s populist posturing and feigning of anger against corruption;

(b) the lie about the assassination attempt which was never followed up;

(c) the president’s self-presentation as humble to cover up his overflowing narcissism and unbridled desire to govern alone and his adopting of a blatantly populist tone when attacking institutions, parties, elites and politicians as though these attacks are not political.

There have also been attempts to disable parliament sessions by representatives of what remains of the constitutional party, and although they didn’t succeed, they created the impression that parliament was in chaos, although this was untrue.

4 – The alternatives being aired currently are not between a ‘parliamentary’ or ‘presidential’ democracy, but rather between democracy and a return to dictatorship. President Saied was never known for his opposition to it when Zine El Abidine Ben Ali ruled Tunisia and in fact he boasted that he had never cast his vote in any of the elections during Tunisia’s democracy.

He also has not hidden his admiration of some models of dictatorship.

It is also to be noted that his proposals for a different constitution for Tunisia resembled the model of the revolutionary committees which provided a cover for the dictatorship in Libya – or at least, they appear to share the same mentality.

5 – Some of the Tunisian parties prioritised political rivalries and the settling of scores over a commitment to democracy. This was a grave mistake.

6 – The attempt has not succeeded yet and the outcome of the matter depends on the response of the Tunisian people. It also depends on the degree of cooperation the army and state security apparatus show to go along with the steps President Saied has taken. It is premature to judge the response the army will take on this issue.

7 – The president’s actions had been prepared in advance, openly, and so were to be expected. It would be surprising if those who saw this coming had not prepared themselves for this scenario.

8 – The use of violence to counter this attempt is extremely unlikely. Whether the army goes along with the president’s actions depends on what happens on the Tunisian street, and will also be influenced by whether the majority of parliament manage to unite in rejecting the steps.

9 – Democracy can be saved in Tunisia.
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Azmi Bishara is a Palestinian intellectual, academic and writer. He is the director of the Arab Centre for Research and Policy Studies.
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